Match Analysis

Manchester CityvsAEK Athens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
16%
20%
Manchester City winDrawAEK Athens win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
3.16Avg goals scored1.35
1.95Avg goals conceded3.14
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

1.8

AEK Athens xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

7%

2–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

4–1

5%

4–2

5%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.2 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.1

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs AEK Athens?

Manchester City is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester City Win64%
Draw16%
AEK Athens Win20%
BTTS80%
Over 2.587%