Manchester Unitedvs
Bayern Munich
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
2.3
Bayern Munich xG
78%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
2–3
6%
Home
Manchester United
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Bayern Munich
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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