Match Analysis

NapolivsBodo/Glimt

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
20%
38%
Napoli winDrawBodo/Glimt win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.68Avg goals scored1.06
3.07Avg goals conceded1.78
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Napoli xG

Expected goals

2

Bodo/Glimt xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 3.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt

WDWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Napoli is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win42%
Draw20%
Bodo/Glimt Win38%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%