Match Analysis

NapolivsClub Brugge

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
19%
50%
Napoli winDrawClub Brugge win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
1.68Avg goals scored2.76
3.07Avg goals conceded1.48
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Napoli xG

Expected goals

2.6

Club Brugge xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

5%

2–1

5%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 3.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Club Brugge

Club Brugge

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Club Brugge?

Club Brugge is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win31%
Draw19%
Club Brugge Win50%
BTTS80%
Over 2.584%