Paris Saint-Germainvs
AS Roma
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.4
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
1.9
AS Roma xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
90%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
2–1
5%
2–2
5%
4–1
5%
4–2
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $69K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
5.0 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
AS Roma
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.6 / 2.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?
Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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