Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
RB Leipzig xG
Expected goals
1.8
Lens xG
79%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
3–1
7%
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
1–1
5%
4–1
5%
Home
RB Leipzig
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lens
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 4.7
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Lens?
RB Leipzig is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is RB Leipzig's current form?
RB Leipzig have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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