Match Analysis

RB LeipzigvsLens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
17%
23%
RB Leipzig winDrawLens win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.60
1.35Avg goals scored0.76
2.69Avg goals conceded4.70
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

RB Leipzig xG

Expected goals

1.8

Lens xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

3–1

7%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

4–1

5%

Home

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lens

Lens

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 4.7

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Lens?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Leipzig's current form?

RB Leipzig have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Leipzig Win60%
Draw17%
Lens Win23%
BTTS79%
Over 2.585%