Match Analysis

RB LeipzigvsManchester City

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
19%
49%
RB Leipzig winDrawManchester City win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.40
1.35Avg goals scored3.16
2.69Avg goals conceded1.95
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

RB Leipzig xG

Expected goals

2.6

Manchester City xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

5%

2–1

5%

Home

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.2 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Leipzig's current form?

RB Leipzig have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Leipzig Win32%
Draw19%
Manchester City Win49%
BTTS81%
Over 2.585%