Match Analysis

RB LeipzigvsShakhtar Donetsk

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
22%
40%
RB Leipzig winDrawShakhtar Donetsk win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.80
1.35Avg goals scored0.87
2.69Avg goals conceded1.00
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

RB Leipzig xG

Expected goals

1.9

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–3

5%

Home

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Leipzig's current form?

RB Leipzig have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Leipzig Win38%
Draw22%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win40%
BTTS71%
Over 2.571%