Match Analysis

Real MadridvsPSV Eindhoven

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
19%
26%
Real Madrid winDrawPSV Eindhoven win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game2.00
3.38Avg goals scored0.76
1.84Avg goals conceded1.08
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Real Madrid xG

Expected goals

1.6

PSV Eindhoven xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

2–0

5%

Home

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

3.4 / 1.8

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?

Real Madrid is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Madrid's current form?

Real Madrid have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Real Madrid Win55%
Draw19%
PSV Eindhoven Win26%
BTTS73%
Over 2.576%