Match Analysis

Shakhtar DonetskvsAEK Athens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
20%
27%
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawAEK Athens win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
0.87Avg goals scored1.35
1.00Avg goals conceded3.14
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Expected goals

1.6

AEK Athens xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.1

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?

Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk Win53%
Draw20%
AEK Athens Win27%
BTTS72%
Over 2.575%