Match Analysis

Shakhtar DonetskvsFenerbahce

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
21%
29%
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawFenerbahce win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
0.87Avg goals scored1.72
1.00Avg goals conceded2.85
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Expected goals

1.7

Fenerbahce xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

2–0

5%

Home

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

WWLLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahce?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?

Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk Win50%
Draw21%
Fenerbahce Win29%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%