Shakhtar Donetskvs
Real Madrid
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Shakhtar Donetsk xG
Expected goals
2.1
Real Madrid xG
75%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–1
7%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
5%
2–3
5%
Home
Shakhtar Donetsk
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
3.4 / 1.8
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?
Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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