Match Analysis

Shakhtar DonetskvsSporting CP

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
23%
39%
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawSporting CP win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
0.87Avg goals scored1.79
1.00Avg goals conceded0.97
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Expected goals

1.7

Sporting CP xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?

Sporting CP is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?

Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk Win38%
Draw23%
Sporting CP Win39%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%