Match Analysis

Slovan BratislavavsShakhtar Donetsk

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
21%
53%
Slovan Bratislava winDrawShakhtar Donetsk win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.80
0.14Avg goals scored0.87
4.03Avg goals conceded1.00
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Slovan Bratislava xG

Expected goals

2.2

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Slovan Bratislava

Slovan Bratislava

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.1 / 4.0

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Slovan Bratislava's current form?

Slovan Bratislava have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Slovan Bratislava Win26%
Draw21%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win53%
BTTS69%
Over 2.571%