Match Analysis

Sporting CPvsBarcelona

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
20%
39%
Sporting CP winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.79Avg goals scored3.25
0.97Avg goals conceded1.47
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Sporting CP xG

Expected goals

2

Barcelona xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sporting CP vs Barcelona?

Sporting CP is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sporting CP's current form?

Sporting CP have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sporting CP Win41%
Draw20%
Barcelona Win39%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%