Sporting CPvs
Manchester United
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Sporting CP xG
Expected goals
1.7
Manchester United xG
74%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
1–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
2–0
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $65K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Sporting CP
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sporting CP vs Manchester United?
Sporting CP is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sporting CP's current form?
Sporting CP have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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