Match Analysis

VillarrealvsParis Saint-Germain

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
14%
68%
Villarreal winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.60
1.83Avg goals scored4.96
3.82Avg goals conceded1.17
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

3.6

Paris Saint-Germain xG

84%

Both Teams to Score

92%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

1–2

5%

1–4

5%

2–2

5%

2–4

5%

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 3.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

5.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Villarreal Win18%
Draw14%
Paris Saint-Germain Win68%
BTTS84%
Over 2.592%