Match Analysis

St. Kitts and NevisvsBonaire

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
16%
20%
St. Kitts and Nevis winDrawBonaire win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.60
2.33Avg goals scored1.55
2.04Avg goals conceded3.68
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

St. Kitts and Nevis xG

Expected goals

1.8

Bonaire xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

7%

2–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

4–1

5%

4–2

5%

Home

St. Kitts and Nevis

St. Kitts and Nevis

LDDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Bonaire

Bonaire

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 3.7

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire?

St. Kitts and Nevis is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is St. Kitts and Nevis's current form?

St. Kitts and Nevis have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 5 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

St. Kitts and Nevis Win64%
Draw16%
Bonaire Win20%
BTTS80%
Over 2.587%