Match Analysis

AC MilanvsArarat-Armenia

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
21%
26%
AC Milan winDrawArarat-Armenia win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.60
0.96Avg goals scored1.07
1.79Avg goals conceded3.42
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.4

Ararat-Armenia xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 3.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia?

AC Milan is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win53%
Draw21%
Ararat-Armenia Win26%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%