Match Analysis

AC MilanvsFerencvaros

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
22%
53%
AC Milan winDrawFerencvaros win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game3.00
0.96Avg goals scored2.69
1.79Avg goals conceded0.66
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.9

Ferencvaros xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–3

6%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.7

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Ferencvaros?

Ferencvaros is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win25%
Draw22%
Ferencvaros Win53%
BTTS62%
Over 2.562%