Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
AC Milan xG
Expected goals
1.4
Sunderland xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
1–0
8%
1–2
8%
0–0
6%
Home
AC Milan
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.8
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Sunderland
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Sunderland?
AC Milan is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AC Milan's current form?
AC Milan have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Europa League