Match Analysis

AnderlechtvsSunderland

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
24%
25%
Anderlecht winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.64Avg goals scored0.90
0.54Avg goals conceded1.19
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Anderlecht xG

Expected goals

1.1

Sunderland xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

0–1

7%

0–0

6%

Home

Anderlecht

Anderlecht

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Anderlecht vs Sunderland?

Anderlecht is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Anderlecht's current form?

Anderlecht have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Anderlecht Win51%
Draw24%
Sunderland Win25%
BTTS55%
Over 2.553%