Match Analysis

Ararat-ArmeniavsNEC Nijmegen

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
20%
53%
Ararat-Armenia winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.00
1.07Avg goals scored2.34
3.42Avg goals conceded1.87
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Ararat-Armenia xG

Expected goals

2.4

NEC Nijmegen xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

2–3

6%

Home

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 3.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ararat-Armenia vs NEC Nijmegen?

NEC Nijmegen is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ararat-Armenia's current form?

Ararat-Armenia have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ararat-Armenia Win27%
Draw20%
NEC Nijmegen Win53%
BTTS74%
Over 2.578%