Match Analysis

AZ AlkmaarvsHapoel Be'er

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
20%
18%
AZ Alkmaar winDrawHapoel Be'er win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.40
1.90Avg goals scored0.24
1.07Avg goals conceded2.24
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

AZ Alkmaar xG

Expected goals

1

Hapoel Be'er xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Hapoel Be'er

Hapoel Be'er

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.2 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er?

AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?

AZ Alkmaar have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AZ Alkmaar Win62%
Draw20%
Hapoel Be'er Win18%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%