Match Analysis

AZ AlkmaarvsJuventus

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
AZ Alkmaar winDrawJuventus win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
1.90Avg goals scored2.45
1.07Avg goals conceded1.12
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

AZ Alkmaar xG

Expected goals

1.6

Juventus xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Juventus

Juventus

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?

AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?

AZ Alkmaar have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AZ Alkmaar Win41%
Draw23%
Juventus Win36%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%