Match Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenvsMarseille

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
24%
21%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.40
1.80Avg goals scored0.49
0.34Avg goals conceded1.11
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

0.9

Marseille xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

11%

2–0

11%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win55%
Draw24%
Marseille Win21%
BTTS49%
Over 2.548%