Match Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenvsRB Salzburg

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
21%
17%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawRB Salzburg win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.80Avg goals scored0.69
0.34Avg goals conceded2.18
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

1

RB Salzburg xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

RB Salzburg

RB Salzburg

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Salzburg?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win62%
Draw21%
RB Salzburg Win17%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%