Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Benfica xG
Expected goals
1.4
Celtic xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
6%
2–0
6%
2–2
6%
3–0
5%
Home
Benfica
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
3.4 / 0.9
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Celtic
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 2.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Benfica vs Celtic?
Benfica is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Benfica's current form?
Benfica have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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