Match Analysis

Celta VigovsUnion St.-Gilloise

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
23%
49%
Celta Vigo winDrawUnion St.-Gilloise win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game3.00
1.12Avg goals scored2.45
1.58Avg goals conceded0.58
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

1.8

Union St.-Gilloise xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win28%
Draw23%
Union St.-Gilloise Win49%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%