Match Analysis

CelticvsMarseille

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
24%
34%
Celtic winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.40
1.69Avg goals scored0.49
2.63Avg goals conceded1.10
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Celtic xG

Expected goals

1.5

Marseille xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Celtic

Celtic

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celtic vs Marseille?

Celtic is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celtic's current form?

Celtic have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celtic Win42%
Draw24%
Marseille Win34%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%