Match Analysis

Dinamo ZagrebvsBayer Leverkusen

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
25%
41%
Dinamo Zagreb winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.46Avg goals scored1.80
1.08Avg goals conceded0.34
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Dinamo Zagreb xG

Expected goals

1.5

Bayer Leverkusen xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–2

7%

Home

Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

WLWDL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?

Dinamo Zagreb have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Dinamo Zagreb Win34%
Draw25%
Bayer Leverkusen Win41%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%