Match Analysis

Jagiellonia BialystokvsAnderlecht

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
25%
45%
Jagiellonia Bialystok winDrawAnderlecht win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
0.87Avg goals scored1.64
1.69Avg goals conceded0.54
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Jagiellonia Bialystok xG

Expected goals

1.6

Anderlecht xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Anderlecht

Anderlecht

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Anderlecht?

Anderlecht is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jagiellonia Bialystok's current form?

Jagiellonia Bialystok have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Jagiellonia Bialystok Win30%
Draw25%
Anderlecht Win45%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%