Match Analysis

Jagiellonia BialystokvsLyon

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
24%
36%
Jagiellonia Bialystok winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.80
0.87Avg goals scored1.36
1.69Avg goals conceded1.78
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Jagiellonia Bialystok xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lyon xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

LDWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lyon?

Jagiellonia Bialystok is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jagiellonia Bialystok's current form?

Jagiellonia Bialystok have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Jagiellonia Bialystok Win40%
Draw24%
Lyon Win36%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%