Match Analysis

Lech PoznanvsBayer Leverkusen

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
22%
57%
Lech Poznan winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.20
0.61Avg goals scored1.79
2.85Avg goals conceded0.34
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Lech Poznan xG

Expected goals

2

Bayer Leverkusen xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

9%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

LDLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lech Poznan's current form?

Lech Poznan have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lech Poznan Win21%
Draw22%
Bayer Leverkusen Win57%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%