Match Analysis

Lech PoznanvsFerencvaros

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
19%
62%
Lech Poznan winDrawFerencvaros win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game3.00
0.61Avg goals scored2.69
2.85Avg goals conceded0.66
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Lech Poznan xG

Expected goals

2.3

Ferencvaros xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–2

8%

1–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

LDLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.7

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lech Poznan vs Ferencvaros?

Ferencvaros is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lech Poznan's current form?

Lech Poznan have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lech Poznan Win19%
Draw19%
Ferencvaros Win62%
BTTS63%
Over 2.568%