Match Analysis

Levski SofiavsLillestrom

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
22%
19%
Levski Sofia winDrawLillestrom win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.12Avg goals scored0.39
0.66Avg goals conceded2.50
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Levski Sofia xG

Expected goals

1

Lillestrom xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

10%

1–1

10%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Levski Sofia vs Lillestrom?

Levski Sofia is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Levski Sofia's current form?

Levski Sofia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Levski Sofia Win59%
Draw22%
Lillestrom Win19%
BTTS54%
Over 2.555%