Match Analysis

LillestromvsReal Sociedad

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
21%
58%
Lillestrom winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
0.39Avg goals scored2.35
2.50Avg goals conceded0.88
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Lillestrom xG

Expected goals

2.1

Real Sociedad xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

8%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lillestrom's current form?

Lillestrom have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lillestrom Win21%
Draw21%
Real Sociedad Win58%
BTTS61%
Over 2.564%