Match Analysis

LillestromvsViktoria Plzen

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
25%
42%
Lillestrom winDrawViktoria Plzen win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
0.39Avg goals scored0.85
2.50Avg goals conceded1.47
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lillestrom xG

Expected goals

1.6

Viktoria Plzen xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Viktoria Plzen

Viktoria Plzen

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzen?

Viktoria Plzen is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lillestrom's current form?

Lillestrom have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lillestrom Win33%
Draw25%
Viktoria Plzen Win42%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%