Match Analysis

LyonvsBayer Leverkusen

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
24%
46%
Lyon winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
1.36Avg goals scored1.80
1.78Avg goals conceded0.34
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lyon xG

Expected goals

1.7

Bayer Leverkusen xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

LDWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win30%
Draw24%
Bayer Leverkusen Win46%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%