Match Analysis

LyonvsLillestrom

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
22%
23%
Lyon winDrawLillestrom win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.80
1.36Avg goals scored0.39
1.78Avg goals conceded2.50
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Lyon xG

Expected goals

1.2

Lillestrom xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

LDWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Lillestrom?

Lyon is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win55%
Draw22%
Lillestrom Win23%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%