Match Analysis

LyonvsUnion St.-Gilloise

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
23%
48%
Lyon winDrawUnion St.-Gilloise win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game3.00
1.36Avg goals scored2.45
1.78Avg goals conceded0.58
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lyon xG

Expected goals

1.9

Union St.-Gilloise xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

LDWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win29%
Draw23%
Union St.-Gilloise Win48%
BTTS64%
Over 2.564%