Match Analysis

MarseillevsAnderlecht

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
26%
44%
Marseille winDrawAnderlecht win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.00
0.49Avg goals scored1.64
1.11Avg goals conceded0.54
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Marseille xG

Expected goals

1.4

Anderlecht xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

0–2

8%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Anderlecht

Anderlecht

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Anderlecht?

Anderlecht is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win30%
Draw26%
Anderlecht Win44%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%