Match Analysis

NEC NijmegenvsLevski Sofia

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
23%
35%
NEC Nijmegen winDrawLevski Sofia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
2.34Avg goals scored1.12
1.87Avg goals conceded0.66
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

NEC Nijmegen xG

Expected goals

1.5

Levski Sofia xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

NEC Nijmegen is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is NEC Nijmegen's current form?

NEC Nijmegen have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

NEC Nijmegen Win42%
Draw23%
Levski Sofia Win35%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%