Match Analysis

NK CeljevsNEC Nijmegen

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
21%
42%
NK Celje winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.56Avg goals scored2.34
2.24Avg goals conceded1.87
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

NK Celje xG

Expected goals

2

NEC Nijmegen xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

NK Celje

NK Celje

WDLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win NK Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?

NEC Nijmegen is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is NK Celje's current form?

NK Celje have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

NK Celje Win37%
Draw21%
NEC Nijmegen Win42%
BTTS74%
Over 2.575%