Match Analysis

OlympiacosvsAC Milan

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
25%
24%
Olympiacos winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.80
0.81Avg goals scored0.96
0.15Avg goals conceded1.79
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Olympiacos xG

Expected goals

1

AC Milan xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Olympiacos

Olympiacos

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.1

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Olympiacos vs AC Milan?

Olympiacos is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Olympiacos's current form?

Olympiacos have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Olympiacos Win51%
Draw25%
AC Milan Win24%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%