Match Analysis

SK Sturm GrazvsMarseille

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
26%
33%
SK Sturm Graz winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.40
0.95Avg goals scored0.49
1.74Avg goals conceded1.11
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

SK Sturm Graz xG

Expected goals

1.3

Marseille xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

DLDDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SK Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

SK Sturm Graz is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SK Sturm Graz's current form?

SK Sturm Graz have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SK Sturm Graz Win41%
Draw26%
Marseille Win33%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%