Match Analysis

SK Sturm GrazvsNK Celje

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
23%
35%
SK Sturm Graz winDrawNK Celje win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.80
0.95Avg goals scored1.56
1.74Avg goals conceded2.24
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

SK Sturm Graz xG

Expected goals

1.6

NK Celje xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

0–1

5%

Home

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

DLDDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

NK Celje

NK Celje

WDLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SK Sturm Graz vs NK Celje?

SK Sturm Graz is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SK Sturm Graz's current form?

SK Sturm Graz have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SK Sturm Graz Win42%
Draw23%
NK Celje Win35%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%