Sparta Praguevs
AZ Alkmaar
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Sparta Prague xG
Expected goals
1.7
AZ Alkmaar xG
63%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
2–2
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Sparta Prague
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
AZ Alkmaar
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sparta Prague's current form?
Sparta Prague have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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