Match Analysis

Sparta PraguevsAZ Alkmaar

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
24%
42%
Sparta Prague winDrawAZ Alkmaar win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
1.17Avg goals scored1.90
1.68Avg goals conceded1.07
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Sparta Prague xG

Expected goals

1.7

AZ Alkmaar xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sparta Prague's current form?

Sparta Prague have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sparta Prague Win34%
Draw24%
AZ Alkmaar Win42%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%