Match Analysis

Sparta PraguevsLillestrom

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
22%
24%
Sparta Prague winDrawLillestrom win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
1.17Avg goals scored0.39
1.68Avg goals conceded2.50
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Sparta Prague xG

Expected goals

1.2

Lillestrom xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom?

Sparta Prague is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sparta Prague's current form?

Sparta Prague have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sparta Prague Win54%
Draw22%
Lillestrom Win24%
BTTS59%
Over 2.560%