Match Analysis

SunderlandvsDinamo Zagreb

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
25%
38%
Sunderland winDrawDinamo Zagreb win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
0.90Avg goals scored1.46
1.19Avg goals conceded1.08
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

1.4

Dinamo Zagreb xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

WLWDL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Dinamo Zagreb is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win37%
Draw25%
Dinamo Zagreb Win38%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%